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NSI.GOLD / EVIDENCE & METHODOLOGY

Evidence Library

Trace the evidence.
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Explore the sources behind neuroscience, neurofinance and gold-market research. Follow a reference from an NSI article to its original publication, and see which bibliographies still require review.

114Articles catalogued
314Unique source URLs
113Bibliographies imported
1Legacy articles for review

THE SOURCE REGISTER

A transparent research trail.

405 unique article–source connections · 0 imports pending

114 articles · Page 2 of 5

MarketBibliography imported

Why Dubai's Gold Retail Quote Is Not the Same as XAU/USD Spot

3 unique cited sources

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  1. LBMA. The OTC Guide: London Good Delivery.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/london-good-delivery-gold-and-silver ↗
  2. CME Group. Gold Futures contract overview.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold-futures.html ↗
  3. UAE Ministry of Finance. Value Added Tax.

    https://mof.gov.ae/en/public-finance/tax/value-added-tax-vat ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Q3 2026 Gold Supply: Why More Mining Did Not Mean More Metal

3 unique cited sources

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  1. World Gold Council. Supply, Gold Demand Trends Q3 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026/supply ↗
  2. World Gold Council. Gold Demand Trends: Q3 2026, overview (2026).

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026 ↗
  3. World Gold Council. Gold Demand Trends Q1 2026 — Supply.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q1-2026/supply ↗
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Why a Gold Bar Can Settle in London but Not Every COMEX Contract

3 unique cited sources

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  1. LBMA Good Delivery Rules — Technical Specifications.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/good-delivery-rules/technical-specifications ↗
  2. LBMA Good Delivery Rules and Governance.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/good-delivery/good-delivery-rules-and-governance ↗
  3. CME Group. Gold (Enhanced Delivery) Futures FAQ.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/metals/precious/faq-gold-enhanced-delivery-futures.html ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Gold Demand in Q3 2026: Why ETFs, Central Banks and Jewellery Diverged

5 unique cited sources

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  1. World Gold Council. Gold Demand Trends: Q3 2026, overview (2026).

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026 ↗
  2. World Gold Council. Central Banks, Gold Demand Trends Q3 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026/central-banks ↗
  3. World Gold Council. Investment, Gold Demand Trends Q3 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026/investment ↗
  4. World Gold Council. Jewellery, Gold Demand Trends Q3 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026/jewellery ↗
  5. World Gold Council. Supply, Gold Demand Trends Q3 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q3-2026/supply ↗
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InteractionBibliography imported

When a Thousand Forecasts Are Really One: Measuring Independent Market Opinion

3 unique cited sources

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  1. Lorenz et al (2011). Social influence and crowd wisdom.

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3107299 ↗
  2. Moussaïd et al (2013). Collective dynamics of opinion formation.

    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0078433 ↗
  3. Madirolas & de Polavieja (2015). Resistance to social influence.

    https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004594 ↗
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InteractionBibliography imported

When Discussion Makes a Group More Certain and More Extreme

3 unique cited sources

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  1. Myers & Bishop (1970). Discussion effects on racial attitudes.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/4914703 ↗
  2. Myers & Bishop (1971). Enhancement of dominant attitudes in group discussion.

    https://doi.org/10.1037/h0031920 ↗
  3. Sunstein, Kahneman & Schkade (2000). Deliberating about dollars.

    https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/journal_articles/8348 ↗
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InteractionBibliography imported

When Other People’s Bets Become the Signal: Separating Social Anchors from Independent Evidence

4 unique cited sources

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  1. Karakostas, Morgan & Zizzo (2023). Socially interdependent risk taking.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37361605 ↗
  2. Çelen & Kariv (2004). Informational cascades vs herd behavior.

    https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/0002828041464461 ↗
  3. Lorenz et al (2011). Social influence and crowd wisdom.

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3107299 ↗
  4. Striatal BOLD response and herd information on financial decisions.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20589242 ↗
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PersonalBibliography imported

The Decision Journal Is Not a Crystal Ball: What Recording Beliefs Can and Cannot Improve

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Fischhoff, B. (1975). Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1(3), 288–299.

    https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.1.3.288 ↗
  2. [2] Mellers, B. et al. (2014). Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament. Psychological Science, 25(5), 1106–1115.

    https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797614524255 ↗
  3. [3] Hauenstein, C. E. et al. (2025). Rethinking the role of teams and training in geopolitical forecasting: The effect of uncontrolled method variance on statistical conclusions. Psychological Science, 36(1), 3–18.

    https://doi.org/10.1177/09567976241266481 ↗
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Sleep Timing Variability: Why Seven Hours Do Not Guarantee the Same Next-Day Attention

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Zhang R, Tomasi D, Shokri-Kojori E, et al. Sleep inconsistency between weekends and weekdays is associated with changes in brain function during task and rest. Sleep (2020).

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32333599 ↗
  2. Van Dongen et al. (2003), chronic sleep restriction and neurobehavioral performance

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12683469 ↗
  3. [3] Silva EJ, Wang W, Ronda JM, Wyatt JK, Duffy JF. Circadian and wake-dependent influences on subjective sleepiness, cognitive throughput, and reaction time performance. Sleep (2010).

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20394317 ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

The Fed Held Rates, But Gold Has More Than One Opportunity Cost

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Federal Reserve, FOMC statement, October 28, 2026

    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20261028a.htm ↗
  2. [2] U.S. Department of the Treasury. Daily Treasury Par Real Yield Curve Rates, October 2026 official data.

    https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?field_tdr_date_value=2026&field_tdr_date_value_month=202610&type=daily_treasury_real_yield_curve ↗
  3. [1] World Gold Council (7 October 2026), Gold Market Commentary: Go with the flow; September 2026 attribution, ETF holdings and currency context.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-market-commentary-september-2026 ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Gold ETF Holdings Rose as Assets Fell: September 2026's Valuation Puzzle

4 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] World Gold Council. Gold ETF Flows: September 2026 — UK crowned in a record quarter. Published 7 October 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-etfs-holdings-and-flows/2026/10 ↗
  2. [2] World Gold Council. Gold ETF Flows: August 2026 — Global demand drives record holdings. Published 9 September 2026.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-etfs-holdings-and-flows/2026/09 ↗
  3. [3] World Gold Council. Gold ETFs, holdings and flows — data universe, reporting frequency and definitions.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/gold-etfs-holdings-and-flows ↗
  4. [4] State Street Global Advisors. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), official fund data and valuation disclosures.

    https://www.ssga.com/us/en/individual/etfs/spdr-gold-shares-gld ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Gold in the Vault Is Not Gold on Offer: The Reserve–Liquidity Distinction

4 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] International Monetary Fund. Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition, chapter 5: monetary gold and title/control definitions.

    https://www.elibrary.imf.org/display/book/9781589068124/ch05.xml ↗
  2. [2] International Monetary Fund. Gold in the IMF: official holdings and acquisition history, 16 September 2022.

    https://www.imf.org/en/About/Factsheets/Sheets/2022/gold-in-the-imf ↗
  3. [3] London Bullion Market Association. London Vault Data: September 2026 holdings and scope.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/london-vault-data ↗
  4. [1] LBMA, Clearing Data: August 2026 Gold Transfers.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/clearing-data ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Gold Has More Than One Weekend: Why 1-Ounce Futures, GC and London Auctions Run on Different Clocks

4 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] CME Group, 24/7 Futures and Options Trading: Products, Maintenance Windows and Weekend Trade Dates (accessed November 1, 2026).

    https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/trade-24-7 ↗
  2. [2] CME Group, CME Globex Notice July 6, 2026: Update 1-Ounce Gold Futures Expansion to 24/7 Trading.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/electronic-trading/2026/07/20260706.html ↗
  3. [3] CME Group, Gold Futures and Options Fact Card: GC Contract Specifications.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/market-regulation/files/gold-futures-and-options-fact-card.pdf ↗
  4. [3] London Bullion Market Association, About LBMA Daily Auction Prices.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/about-lbma-daily-auction-prices ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

Gold Volatility Is a Clock Problem: Why Intraday Range and 30-Day Options Can Disagree

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Cboe Global Markets, Volatility Index Methodology: Selected Broad-Based Index, Equity and ETF Volatility Indices, including GVZ (2026).

    https://cdn.cboe.com/api/global/us_indices/governance/Volatility_Index_Methodology_Selected_Broad_Based_Index_Equity_and_ETF_Volatility_Indices.pdf ↗
  2. [2] CME Group, Understanding the CVOL Index: Implied Versus Realized Volatility.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/education/courses/introduction-to-cvol/understanding-the-cvol-index ↗
  3. [3] London Bullion Market Association, About LBMA Daily Auction Prices.

    https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/about-lbma-daily-auction-prices ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

The Gold Liquidity Illusion: Why a Tight Spread Can Still Produce a Bad Fill

4 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] CME Group (2024), Understanding the CME Liquidity Tool Methodology.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/understanding-the-cme-liquidity-tool-methodology ↗
  2. [2] CME Group (2018), CME Liquidity Tool User Guide.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/education/demos-and-tutorials/cme-liquidity-tool-user-guide ↗
  3. [3] CME Group, Liquidity of COMEX Gold & Silver during Asia Hours (historical analysis).

    https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/liquidity-of-comex-gold-and-silver-is-excellent-during-asia-hours ↗
  4. [4] Aliyev, Aquilina, Rzayev and Zhu (2024), Through stormy seas: how fragile is liquidity across asset classes and time? BIS Working Paper 1229.

    https://www.bis.org/publications/working-paper-1229-through-stormy-seas-how-fragile-liquidity-across-asset-classes-and-time ↗
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MarketBibliography imported

When Gold and Real Yields Disagree: Reading the October 2026 Evidence Without a Single-Cause Story

4 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] World Gold Council (7 October 2026), Gold Market Commentary: Go with the flow; September 2026 attribution, ETF holdings and currency context.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-market-commentary-september-2026 ↗
  2. [2] World Gold Council (30 July 2026), Gold Demand Trends Q2 2026: Outlook; opportunity cost, regional demand and official-sector uncertainty.

    https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026/outlook ↗
  3. [3] US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Commitments of Traders report description and publication timetable.

    https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/AbouttheCOTReports/cot_about.html ↗
  4. [4] Swiss National Bank (30 October 2026), Interim results as at 30 September 2026; gold valuation and unchanged reserve volume.

    https://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases/2026/pre_20261030 ↗
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ResearchBibliography imported

A Confidence Percentage Is Not Proof of Calibration in Neurofinance

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Niculescu-Mizil and Caruana, Predicting Good Probabilities With Supervised Learning, 2005.

    https://doi.org/10.1145/1102351.1102430 ↗
  2. [2] Guo et al., On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks, 2017.

    https://proceedings.mlr.press/v70/guo17a ↗
  3. [3] Kull et al., Beta Calibration: A Well-Founded Improvement, 2017.

    https://proceedings.mlr.press/v54/kull17a.html ↗
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Temporal Leakage: How a Nervous-System Model Can Learn Tomorrow by Accident

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Varma and Simon, Bias in Error Estimation When Using Cross-Validation for Model Selection, 2006.

    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/1471-2105-7-91 ↗
  2. [2] Bergmeir, Hyndman and Koo, Validity of Cross-Validation for Autoregressive Time Series, 2018.

    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2017.11.003 ↗
  3. [3] Roberts et al., Cross-Validation Strategies for Temporally Structured Data, Ecography, 2017.

    https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2017Ecogr..40..913R/abstract ↗
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Heart-Rate Variability Requires a Protocol Before It Can Describe Stress

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Gisselman et al., Optimizing Intersession Reliability of Heart Rate Variability, 2020.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33105371 ↗
  2. [3] Lehrer et al., Heart Rate and Breathing Are Not Always in Phase During Resonance Frequency Breathing, 2020.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32285231 ↗
  3. [1] Balban et al., Brief Structured Respiration Practices Enhance Mood and Reduce Physiological Arousal, 2023.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36630953 ↗
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ResearchBibliography imported

Frontal Theta Is a Control-Related Signal, Not a Financial Forecast

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Cavanagh et al., Theta Lingua Franca: A Common Mid-Frontal Substrate for Action Monitoring, 2012.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22091878 ↗
  2. [2] Cohen and Cavanagh, Single-Trial Regression and Prefrontal Theta in Response Conflict, 2011.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21713190 ↗
  3. [3] Nigbur et al., Theta Dynamics Reveal Domain-Specific Control Over Stimulus and Response Conflict, 2012.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21861681 ↗
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Caffeine Can Restore Alertness Without Erasing Sleep Debt

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Magill et al., Effects of Caffeine and Other Interventions During Sleep Deprivation, 2003.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12887140 ↗
  2. [2] Effects of Chewing Versus Caffeine on Alertness, Cognitive Performance and Autonomic Activity, 2006.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17118092 ↗
  3. Van Dongen et al. (2003), chronic sleep restriction and neurobehavioral performance

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12683469 ↗
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Uncertainty Is Not the Same as Threat: A Nervous-System Distinction

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Kirschner et al., Psychophysiological Reactivity During Uncertainty and Ambiguity Processing, 2016.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26143445 ↗
  2. [2] Tactile P300 to Unpredictable Electric Shocks: Anxiety and Intolerance of Uncertainty, 2021.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33878371 ↗
  3. Qin et al (2009). Acute psychological stress reduces working-memory-related activity.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19403118 ↗
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Breathing Changes Arousal, Not the Market: What Controlled Trials Actually Show

3 unique cited sources

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  1. [1] Balban et al., Brief Structured Respiration Practices Enhance Mood and Reduce Physiological Arousal, 2023.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36630953 ↗
  2. [2] Ma et al., The Effect of Diaphragmatic Breathing on Attention, Negative Affect and Stress, 2017.

    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5455070 ↗
  3. [3] Lehrer et al., Heart Rate and Breathing Are Not Always in Phase During Resonance Frequency Breathing, 2020.

    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32285231 ↗
Read the original NSI article

RESEARCH CONNECTIONS

Context for a better question.

The registry prepares Research Basis for CYGURU.GOLD and Research Context for verified Gold Terminal events. A related study provides interpretation and limitations; it does not create a trading signal or establish that news caused a market move.

Inspect the connection registry ↗